The National Institute of Statistics has published for the first time the projection of Homes for the period 2014/29. This is a new statistical operation included in the National Statistical Plan, which has been designed to provide updated information on the number of households, and offer a statistical simulation based on its size.
And I think this is what we should care about: the size, because although the number of households residing in Spain would increase by 5.2 percent, the decrease of the resident population in family homes, would be 2.5%.
Between 2014 and 2029, smaller households (with one or two people) would continue to grow, while larger ones would decrease, particularly those with five or more people, thus maintaining the trend of recent years
This could confirm one of the modern paradoxes we have heard most about: "We live in bigger houses but also more empty". Alluding to the disappearance of living with an extended family, and the reduction of birth rates; as well as the consolidation of the tendency to have only one child.
Less resident population
The INE has also carried out a new Population Projection of Spain 2014-2064, which confirms the progressive increase in deaths and the decrease in births (will be charged after 2040).
The vegetative balance will be negative since 2015, and would not be compensated with the migratory balance
Thus, Spain would lose Spain would lose one million inhabitants in the next 15 years and 5.6 million in the next 50 years
The only autonomous communities that could gain population in the next 15 years are Community of Madrid, Canary Islands, Balearic Islands, Region of Murcia and Andalusia.
Smaller homes
The INE projection reflects the result that the prolongation of demographic trends and social behaviors observed today would have on the number of households. In fact, three years ago and in the Population Projection in Spain in the Short Term, negative population growth rates were announced.
A home according to the definition of the SAR is the "place where the fire is made in kitchens, fireplaces ...", although the term also refers to the house or family. The current meaning is given by the origin of the term, which after its evolution came to refer to the family that inhabits the house where that place is where the "fire" is prepared.
It is a concept linked to family relationships, but also to the support and help that family members can provide. In fact the latter could be the vestige of natural communities.
I do not know the consequences at the social level that an increase in households may have for families along with a decrease in people, although if this results in less birth rate (and will be so, among other factors that influence), we can imagine a society that long have difficulties in providing certain services to people (for example)
In the families the social changes are observed clearly, and the mutation in its size and composition, can be considered as a crisis or simply as a change, but whatever it is, the family must take on the challenge of supplying the deficits that cause these changes in marital, paternal and affiliate relationships.
I sense that the breakage according to what social tissues, can cause lack of protection in the people who are most vulnerable.
Images | Lars Plougmann, James Benninger
Via | Key4 Communications
More information | INE
In Peques and More | Where the youngest population in the world lives, the birth rate decreases in 2011 with 468,430 births of mothers residing in Spain
